He lost his Sunday night play on Washington last night so I am glad I did not get to post it. This analysis does not lead to a strong play, but some may find it helpfull.
GREEN BAY –3 Tennessee 43.5
0-1-0/1-0-0 22-30
We’ll, it’s elimination game for one of these teams. I find it hard to believe one of these teams could start 1-4 after losing this game and still make the playoffs. Both teams are hurting but the Packers probably still have a chance to compete this year if they can get healthy. For Tennessee, their defense has suffered too many losses and it has shown this year, including last week when they allowed a whopping 8.7yppl to SD, including 8.1ypr and 9.4yps. That’s not good. Tennessee is rushing the ball well this year, averaging 4.8ypr against 3.8ypr but their pass attack has been terrible, gaining just 4.6yps against 6.2yps and 4.7yppl against 5.1yppl overall. They’ll face a Packer defense that is hurting and allowing big plays themselves, at 4.9ypr against 4.5ypr, 7.2yps against 6.7yps and 6.1yppl against 5.7yppl. Going the other way, GB has struggled on offense, gaining just 4.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.4yps against 6.6yps and 5.4yppl against 5.5yppl. But, they too, should be able to move the ball against Tennessee, who is allowing 5.5ypr against 3.9ypr, 6.1yps against 6.2yps and 5.8yppl against 5.2yppl. Both teams qualify in good situations, which make this game a toss up from the situations standpoint. Final numbers favor GB by four and 3.5 points, which is right around the line. I will lean with GB after leaning against them the past two weeks. GB has at least shown some positive signs this year, while Tennessee looks completely lost so far. This game also qualifies in a 228-128-8 under situation and my final numbers indicate about 39 points being scored. I can’t play the under with two poor and banged up defenses but I will lean that way. GREEN BAY 22 TENNESSEE 17
GREEN BAY –3 Tennessee 43.5
0-1-0/1-0-0 22-30
We’ll, it’s elimination game for one of these teams. I find it hard to believe one of these teams could start 1-4 after losing this game and still make the playoffs. Both teams are hurting but the Packers probably still have a chance to compete this year if they can get healthy. For Tennessee, their defense has suffered too many losses and it has shown this year, including last week when they allowed a whopping 8.7yppl to SD, including 8.1ypr and 9.4yps. That’s not good. Tennessee is rushing the ball well this year, averaging 4.8ypr against 3.8ypr but their pass attack has been terrible, gaining just 4.6yps against 6.2yps and 4.7yppl against 5.1yppl overall. They’ll face a Packer defense that is hurting and allowing big plays themselves, at 4.9ypr against 4.5ypr, 7.2yps against 6.7yps and 6.1yppl against 5.7yppl. Going the other way, GB has struggled on offense, gaining just 4.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.4yps against 6.6yps and 5.4yppl against 5.5yppl. But, they too, should be able to move the ball against Tennessee, who is allowing 5.5ypr against 3.9ypr, 6.1yps against 6.2yps and 5.8yppl against 5.2yppl. Both teams qualify in good situations, which make this game a toss up from the situations standpoint. Final numbers favor GB by four and 3.5 points, which is right around the line. I will lean with GB after leaning against them the past two weeks. GB has at least shown some positive signs this year, while Tennessee looks completely lost so far. This game also qualifies in a 228-128-8 under situation and my final numbers indicate about 39 points being scored. I can’t play the under with two poor and banged up defenses but I will lean that way. GREEN BAY 22 TENNESSEE 17
